We will get a winner at some point, which is the exciting part.
Why don’t lotteries like Mega Millions and Powerball produce winners more frequently? If you bought 300 tickets, only then would you have the same chances as getting hit by lightning in your lifetime. You are almost 300 times more likely to get hit by lightning in your lifetime than win Mega Millions. You could do this yourself with 28 coins–toss them and see! (Note, you need to select ‘Number’ to be 28.). Here is an app that lets you simulate flipping a coin 28 times. So, the odds are more likely but still very unlikely. You are amazingly unlikely to get it any single time. But, keep in mind, this is like saying you need to flip heads 28 straight times. If you buy five tickets with different numbers, you are five times more likely to win than buying just one. Does buying more tickets increase your odds? The odds that you’ll get it right are incredibly long. One way to visualize it: It’s equivalent to flipping heads on a coin 28 times in a row.Īnother way to think about it: This is akin to my looking back at the past nine years, picking one second, and then asking you to guess which second I chose. How unlikely is it to win a lottery like Mega Millions or Powerball? But according to Math Professor Tim Chartier, there are some small actions that tip those long odds (slightly) in your favor.
